Tactical voting guide · South East

Chesham and Amersham

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Chesham and Amersham is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 52.2%.

18.0%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 6.

Liberal Democrat 37.9%
Conservative recommended 34.7%
Reform UK 14.6%
Labour 5.5%
Green 3.7%
Restore Britain 2.8%
Other 0.8%

The 2024 general election in Chesham and Amersham

Liberal Democrat won Chesham and Amersham in 2024 with 44.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 34.8% and Reform UK 9.8%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.