Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
The right-of-centre vote in Banbury is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 53.6%.
of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 19.
The 2024 general election in Banbury
Labour won Banbury in 2024 with 38.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 31.6% and Reform UK 13.0%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.6% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Banbury with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Bicester and Woodstock Conservative
- Coventry East Reform UK
- North Warwickshire and Bedworth Reform UK
- Oxford East Reform UK
- Rugby Conservative
- South Northamptonshire Conservative
- Aylesbury Conservative
- Birmingham Yardley Reform UK
- Buckingham and Bletchley Conservative
- Coventry North West Reform UK
- Coventry South Conservative
- Henley and Thame Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.