Tactical voting guide · West Midlands

Stoke-on-Trent South

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Stoke-on-Trent South and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 67.9%.

Conservative recommended 35.0%
Reform UK 28.7%
Labour 22.1%
Green 4.9%
Restore Britain 4.2%
Liberal Democrat 3.3%
Other 1.8%

The 2024 general election in Stoke-on-Trent South

Labour won Stoke-on-Trent South in 2024 with 34.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 33.2% and Reform UK 21.6%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 54.8% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.