Tactical voting guide · South East

Buckingham and Bletchley

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Buckingham and Bletchley and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 61.4%.

Conservative recommended 29.8%
Reform UK 28.1%
Labour 24.5%
Green 7.0%
Liberal Democrat 6.5%
Restore Britain 3.5%
Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in Buckingham and Bletchley

Labour won Buckingham and Bletchley in 2024 with 36.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 31.9% and Reform UK 15.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 47.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.