Tactical voting guide · Wales

Mid and South Pembrokeshire

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Mid and South Pembrokeshire and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 55.8%.

Reform UK recommended 27.6%
Conservative 25.5%
Labour 18.5%
Plaid Cymru 13.9%
Liberal Democrat 5.1%
Green 5.1%
Restore Britain 2.7%
Other 1.5%

The 2024 general election in Mid and South Pembrokeshire

Labour won Mid and South Pembrokeshire in 2024 with 35.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 31.4% and Reform UK 16.8%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 48.2% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.