Tactical voting guide · West Midlands

Newcastle-under-Lyme

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Newcastle-under-Lyme and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 63.1%.

Reform UK recommended 35.4%
Labour 24.8%
Conservative 23.5%
Green 6.5%
Restore Britain 4.3%
Liberal Democrat 4.1%
Other 1.5%

The 2024 general election in Newcastle-under-Lyme

Labour won Newcastle-under-Lyme in 2024 with 40.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 27.6% and Reform UK 22.4%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 49.9% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.