Tactical voting guide · North West

Runcorn and Helsby

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Runcorn and Helsby is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 51.3%.

0.8%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 120.

Labour 37.2%
Reform UK recommended 37.0%
Conservative 10.6%
Green 6.9%
Restore Britain 3.7%
Liberal Democrat 3.6%
Other 1.1%

The 2024 general election in Runcorn and Helsby

Labour won Runcorn and Helsby in 2024 with 52.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 16.0% and Reform UK 18.1%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.