Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
The right-of-centre vote in Dorking and Horley is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 44.0%.
of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — nearly all.
The 2024 general election in Dorking and Horley
Liberal Democrat won Dorking and Horley in 2024 with 41.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 31.1% and Reform UK 13.8%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.9% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Dorking and Horley with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Chichester Reform UK
- Epsom and Ewell Conservative
- Esher and Walton Conservative
- Havant Reform UK
- Kingston and Surbiton Conservative
- Portsmouth North Reform UK
- Arundel and South Downs Conservative
- Godalming and Ash Conservative
- Gosport Reform UK
- Mitcham and Morden Reform UK
- Portsmouth South Reform UK
- Richmond Park Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.