Tactical voting guide · South East

Portsmouth South

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Portsmouth South is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 41.1%.

72.3%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 3 in 4.

Labour 36.4%
Reform UK recommended 24.1%
Conservative 12.8%
Green 11.4%
Liberal Democrat 9.8%
Restore Britain 4.2%
Other 1.2%

The 2024 general election in Portsmouth South

Labour won Portsmouth South in 2024 with 48.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 14.5% and Reform UK 14.6%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.