Tactical voting guide · South West

South Devon

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in South Devon is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 51.5%.

38.2%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 2 in 5.

Liberal Democrat 37.6%
Conservative recommended 29.1%
Reform UK 19.1%
Green 5.3%
Labour 5.2%
Restore Britain 3.3%

The 2024 general election in South Devon

Liberal Democrat won South Devon in 2024 with 46.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 31.5% and Reform UK 13.0%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.