Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Kensington and Bayswater and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 51.8%.
The 2024 general election in Kensington and Bayswater
Labour won Kensington and Bayswater in 2024 with 40.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 33.7% and Reform UK 6.0%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Kensington and Bayswater with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Brent East Conservative
- Brent West Conservative
- Chelsea and Fulham Conservative
- Hammersmith and Chiswick Conservative
- Holborn and St Pancras Reform UK
- Queen's Park and Maida Vale Conservative
- Battersea Conservative
- Brentford and Isleworth Conservative
- Cities of London and Westminster Conservative
- Ealing Central and Acton Conservative
- Ealing North Conservative
- Finchley and Golders Green Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.