How to vote tactically in Aylesbury — back Conservative

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Aylesbury and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 49.9%.

Conservative recommended 26.2%

Labour 24.8%

Reform UK 20.2%

Liberal Democrat 17.1%

Green 7.3%

Restore Britain 3.6%

Other 0.8%

The 2024 general election in Aylesbury

Labour won Aylesbury in 2024 with 30.2% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 28.9% and Reform UK 13.5%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 42.4% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.