Tactical voting guide · South East

Epsom and Ewell

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Epsom and Ewell is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 48.8%.

25.6%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 4.

Liberal Democrat 33.2%
Conservative recommended 27.9%
Reform UK 17.7%
Labour 11.8%
Green 5.0%
Restore Britain 3.3%
Other 1.1%

The 2024 general election in Epsom and Ewell

Liberal Democrat won Epsom and Ewell in 2024 with 37.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 31.2% and Reform UK 10.6%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 41.8% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.