Tactical voting guide · East Midlands

Erewash

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Erewash is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 56.9%.

2.5%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 40.

Labour 31.3%
Reform UK recommended 30.6%
Conservative 21.6%
Green 6.8%
Restore Britain 4.7%
Liberal Democrat 4.5%
Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in Erewash

Labour won Erewash in 2024 with 40.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 26.4% and Reform UK 21.3%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 47.7% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.