Tactical voting guide · East Midlands

Northampton South

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Northampton South and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 64.1%.

Reform UK recommended 39.6%
Labour 22.7%
Conservative 21.1%
Green 6.8%
Liberal Democrat 5.9%
Restore Britain 3.3%
Other 0.5%

The 2024 general election in Northampton South

Labour won Northampton South in 2024 with 38.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 29.2% and Reform UK 18.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 47.9% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.