Tactical voting guide · East Midlands

Mid Derbyshire

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Mid Derbyshire and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 59.6%.

Conservative recommended 32.7%
Labour 25.9%
Reform UK 23.4%
Green 9.7%
Liberal Democrat 4.2%
Restore Britain 3.5%
Other 0.5%

The 2024 general election in Mid Derbyshire

Labour won Mid Derbyshire in 2024 with 36.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 32.5% and Reform UK 17.6%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 50.1% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.