Tactical voting guide · East Midlands

Derby North

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Derby North is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 54.4%.

20.7%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 5.

Labour 31.8%
Reform UK recommended 25.8%
Conservative 24.6%
Green 8.8%
Restore Britain 3.9%
Liberal Democrat 3.5%
Other 1.6%

The 2024 general election in Derby North

Labour won Derby North in 2024 with 45.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 23.7% and Reform UK 18.3%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.