Tactical voting guide · London

Chipping Barnet

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Chipping Barnet and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 57.1%.

Conservative recommended 39.8%
Labour 28.1%
Reform UK 15.2%
Green 7.6%
Liberal Democrat 6.3%
Restore Britain 2.1%
Other 0.8%

The 2024 general election in Chipping Barnet

Labour won Chipping Barnet in 2024 with 42.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 36.7% and Reform UK 7.8%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.