Tactical voting guide · East of England

South West Hertfordshire

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in South West Hertfordshire and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 58.7%.

Conservative recommended 35.5%
Reform UK 20.3%
Liberal Democrat 17.7%
Labour 16.3%
Green 6.4%
Restore Britain 2.9%
Other 1.0%

The 2024 general election in South West Hertfordshire

Conservative won South West Hertfordshire in 2024 with 34.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 34.1% and Reform UK 14.1%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.