Tactical voting guide · North West

Blackburn

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Blackburn is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Other — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Other. Right-of-centre parties combined: 37.0%.

54.7%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 2.

Other 30.6%
Labour 22.8%
Reform UK recommended 22.8%
Conservative 10.1%
Green 7.6%
Restore Britain 4.2%
Liberal Democrat 2.0%

The 2024 general election in Blackburn

Other won Blackburn in 2024 with 46.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 8.9% and Reform UK 12.5%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.