Tactical voting guide · Yorkshire and The Humber

Colne Valley

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Colne Valley is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 54.5%.

17.9%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 6.

Labour 30.6%
Conservative recommended 25.4%
Reform UK 25.3%
Green 9.6%
Liberal Democrat 4.8%
Restore Britain 3.8%
Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in Colne Valley

Labour won Colne Valley in 2024 with 41.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 30.3% and Reform UK 15.8%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 46.1% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.