Tactical voting guide · North West

Morecambe and Lunesdale

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Morecambe and Lunesdale is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 53.0%.

22.7%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 4.

Labour 30.8%
Reform UK recommended 24.3%
Conservative 24.1%
Liberal Democrat 8.3%
Green 6.2%
Restore Britain 4.7%
Other 1.7%

The 2024 general election in Morecambe and Lunesdale

Labour won Morecambe and Lunesdale in 2024 with 40.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 28.7% and Reform UK 16.3%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.9% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.