Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Bolton West is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 53.8%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 6.
The 2024 general election in Bolton West
Labour won Bolton West in 2024 with 38.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 27.8% and Reform UK 19.1%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 46.9% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Nearby constituencies
- Bolton North East Reform UK
- Bolton South and Walkden Reform UK
- Makerfield Reform UK
- Sefton Central Reform UK
- St Helens North Reform UK
- Wigan Reform UK
- Blackley and Middleton South Reform UK
- Bury North Reform UK
- Bury South Reform UK
- Fylde Conservative
- South Ribble Conservative
- Southport Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.