Tactical voting guide · North West

Blackley and Middleton South

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Blackley and Middleton South is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 45.1%.

58.5%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 3 in 5.

Labour 39.9%
Reform UK recommended 32.4%
Green 9.5%
Conservative 8.0%
Restore Britain 4.7%
Liberal Democrat 3.6%
Other 1.9%

The 2024 general election in Blackley and Middleton South

Labour won Blackley and Middleton South in 2024 with 53.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 9.8% and Reform UK 21.1%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.