Tactical voting guide · North East

Darlington

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Darlington is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 56.1%.

6.5%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 15.

Labour 29.5%
Conservative recommended 27.6%
Reform UK 24.1%
Green 9.1%
Restore Britain 4.3%
Liberal Democrat 3.8%
Other 1.6%

The 2024 general election in Darlington

Labour won Darlington in 2024 with 39.2% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 33.8% and Reform UK 16.2%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 50.0% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.