Tactical voting guide · North West

Barrow and Furness

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Barrow and Furness is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 58.4%.

11.7%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 9.

Labour 30.9%
Reform UK recommended 27.3%
Conservative 26.5%
Green 6.3%
Restore Britain 4.6%
Liberal Democrat 3.9%
Other 0.5%

The 2024 general election in Barrow and Furness

Labour won Barrow and Furness in 2024 with 43.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 31.3% and Reform UK 16.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 48.0% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.