Tactical voting guide · North East

City of Durham

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in City of Durham is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 41.1%.

79.6%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 4 in 5.

Labour 37.8%
Reform UK recommended 25.1%
Conservative 11.7%
Liberal Democrat 11.3%
Green 9.0%
Restore Britain 4.3%
Other 0.8%

The 2024 general election in City of Durham

Labour won City of Durham in 2024 with 47.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 12.9% and Reform UK 18.2%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.