Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Middlesbrough and Thornaby East is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 51.0%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 5.
The 2024 general election in Middlesbrough and Thornaby East
Labour won Middlesbrough and Thornaby East in 2024 with 47.2% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 17.9% and Reform UK 20.5%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Middlesbrough and Thornaby East with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Easington Reform UK
- Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor Reform UK
- Redcar Reform UK
- Richmond and Northallerton Conservative
- Skipton and Ripon Conservative
- Stockton West Conservative
- City of Durham Reform UK
- Darlington Conservative
- Gateshead Central and Whickham Reform UK
- Harrogate and Knaresborough Conservative
- Houghton and Sunderland South Reform UK
- Leeds North East Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.