Tactical voting guide · North East

North Durham

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in North Durham and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 51.1%.

Reform UK recommended 34.0%
Labour 32.5%
Conservative 12.2%
Liberal Democrat 7.5%
Green 7.1%
Restore Britain 4.9%
Other 1.8%

The 2024 general election in North Durham

Labour won North Durham in 2024 with 39.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 15.6% and Reform UK 25.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 41.3% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.