Tactical voting guide · Yorkshire and The Humber

Spen Valley

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Spen Valley and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 60.6%.

Reform UK recommended 38.3%
Labour 28.2%
Conservative 17.5%
Green 6.2%
Restore Britain 4.8%
Liberal Democrat 3.1%
Other 2.0%

The 2024 general election in Spen Valley

Labour won Spen Valley in 2024 with 39.2% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 24.0% and Reform UK 24.1%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 48.1% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.