Tactical voting guide · North West

Warrington North

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Warrington North is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 51.3%.

18.8%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 5.

Labour 36.4%
Reform UK recommended 32.9%
Conservative 13.1%
Green 6.1%
Restore Britain 5.3%
Liberal Democrat 4.9%
Other 1.2%

The 2024 general election in Warrington North

Labour won Warrington North in 2024 with 46.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 16.2% and Reform UK 23.8%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.