Tactical voting guide · North West

Lancaster and Wyre

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Lancaster and Wyre is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 43.4%.

49.0%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 2.

Labour 31.6%
Reform UK recommended 20.2%
Green 20.2%
Conservative 19.6%
Restore Britain 3.6%
Liberal Democrat 3.4%
Other 1.5%

The 2024 general election in Lancaster and Wyre

Labour won Lancaster and Wyre in 2024 with 44.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 23.4% and Reform UK 16.0%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.