Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Carlisle and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 57.6%.
The 2024 general election in Carlisle
Labour won Carlisle in 2024 with 39.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 28.1% and Reform UK 20.2%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 48.3% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Carlisle with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Bishop Auckland Reform UK
- Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative
- Hexham Conservative
- North Durham Reform UK
- Westmorland and Lonsdale Reform UK
- Barrow and Furness Reform UK
- Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Conservative
- Blaydon and Consett Reform UK
- City of Durham Reform UK
- Dumfries and Galloway Conservative
- Hamilton and Clyde Valley Reform UK
- Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.