Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 55.1%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 60.
The 2024 general election in Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor
Labour won Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor in 2024 with 46.2% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 20.6% and Reform UK 24.0%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- City of Durham Reform UK
- Easington Reform UK
- Gateshead Central and Whickham Reform UK
- Middlesbrough and Thornaby East Reform UK
- Stockton West Conservative
- Washington and Gateshead South Reform UK
- Barrow and Furness Reform UK
- Bishop Auckland Reform UK
- Blaydon and Consett Reform UK
- Darlington Conservative
- Houghton and Sunderland South Reform UK
- Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.