Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
The right-of-centre vote in Penrith and Solway is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 55.1%.
of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 9.
The 2024 general election in Penrith and Solway
Labour won Penrith and Solway in 2024 with 40.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 29.9% and Reform UK 15.5%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 45.4% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Penrith and Solway with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Westmorland and Lonsdale Reform UK
- Whitehaven and Workington Reform UK
- Barrow and Furness Reform UK
- Carlisle Reform UK
- Dumfries and Galloway Conservative
- Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative
- Kilmarnock and Loudoun Reform UK
- Morecambe and Lunesdale Reform UK
- North Durham Reform UK
- Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Conservative
- Bishop Auckland Reform UK
- Blackpool North and Fleetwood Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.