Tactical voting guide · North West

West Lancashire

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in West Lancashire is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 48.7%.

39.5%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 2 in 5.

Labour 37.7%
Reform UK recommended 30.5%
Conservative 13.8%
Green 8.1%
Restore Britain 4.4%
Liberal Democrat 3.9%
Other 1.7%

The 2024 general election in West Lancashire

Labour won West Lancashire in 2024 with 50.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 19.6% and Reform UK 17.9%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.