Tactical voting guide · North West

Ribble Valley

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Ribble Valley and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 58.4%.

Conservative recommended 29.1%
Labour 27.5%
Reform UK 25.3%
Liberal Democrat 7.4%
Green 5.5%
Restore Britain 3.9%
Other 1.2%

The 2024 general election in Ribble Valley

Labour won Ribble Valley in 2024 with 34.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 33.3% and Reform UK 16.4%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 49.7% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.