Tactical voting guide · North West

Rossendale and Darwen

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Rossendale and Darwen and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 59.7%.

Reform UK recommended 33.3%
Labour 29.9%
Conservative 22.0%
Green 6.6%
Restore Britain 4.4%
Liberal Democrat 3.1%
Other 0.8%

The 2024 general election in Rossendale and Darwen

Labour won Rossendale and Darwen in 2024 with 40.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 28.3% and Reform UK 21.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 50.0% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.