Tactical voting guide · East Midlands

Chesterfield

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Chesterfield is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 50.6%.

30.0%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 3.

Labour 36.4%
Reform UK recommended 30.4%
Conservative 15.3%
Green 7.2%
Liberal Democrat 5.0%
Restore Britain 4.9%
Other 0.9%

The 2024 general election in Chesterfield

Labour won Chesterfield in 2024 with 46.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 20.4% and Reform UK 19.0%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.