Tactical voting guide · East Midlands

Amber Valley

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Amber Valley and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 61.2%.

Reform UK recommended 37.2%
Labour 27.2%
Conservative 19.0%
Green 6.4%
Restore Britain 5.0%
Liberal Democrat 3.5%
Other 1.6%

The 2024 general election in Amber Valley

Labour won Amber Valley in 2024 with 37.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 25.2% and Reform UK 28.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 53.9% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.