Tactical voting guide · East Midlands

Derbyshire Dales

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Derbyshire Dales and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 57.1%.

Conservative recommended 30.5%
Labour 26.6%
Reform UK 22.9%
Liberal Democrat 8.1%
Green 7.6%
Restore Britain 3.8%
Other 0.7%

The 2024 general election in Derbyshire Dales

Labour won Derbyshire Dales in 2024 with 34.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 34.0% and Reform UK 15.1%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 49.0% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.