Tactical voting guide · East Midlands

North East Derbyshire

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in North East Derbyshire and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 60.5%.

Conservative recommended 28.5%
Reform UK 27.8%
Labour 27.5%
Green 7.1%
Liberal Democrat 4.5%
Restore Britain 4.2%

The 2024 general election in North East Derbyshire

Labour won North East Derbyshire in 2024 with 38.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 34.5% and Reform UK 17.2%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 51.8% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.