Tactical voting guide · North East

Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 58.2%.

Conservative recommended 31.2%
Labour 29.2%
Reform UK 22.6%
Green 5.8%
Liberal Democrat 4.7%
Restore Britain 4.5%
Other 2.1%

The 2024 general election in Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland

Labour won Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland in 2024 with 43.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 42.7%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.