Tactical voting guide · Scotland

Dumfries and Galloway

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Dumfries and Galloway and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 52.1%.

Conservative recommended 33.0%
SNP 27.7%
Reform UK 17.5%
Labour 12.9%
Liberal Democrat 3.4%
Green 3.3%
Restore Britain 1.6%
Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in Dumfries and Galloway

Conservative won Dumfries and Galloway in 2024 with 29.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 29.6% and Reform UK 9.4%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.