Tactical voting guide · South West

Truro and Falmouth

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Truro and Falmouth is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 46.9%.

37.5%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 2 in 5.

Labour 31.4%
Conservative recommended 22.1%
Reform UK 20.3%
Green 10.5%
Liberal Democrat 10.2%
Restore Britain 4.5%
Other 1.0%

The 2024 general election in Truro and Falmouth

Labour won Truro and Falmouth in 2024 with 41.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 25.1% and Reform UK 12.3%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.