Tactical voting guide · South West

St Austell and Newquay

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in St Austell and Newquay and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 62.0%.

Reform UK recommended 34.5%
Conservative 22.9%
Labour 21.4%
Liberal Democrat 8.4%
Green 7.0%
Restore Britain 4.6%
Other 1.2%

The 2024 general election in St Austell and Newquay

Labour won St Austell and Newquay in 2024 with 34.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 28.9% and Reform UK 19.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 48.6% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.