Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
The right-of-centre vote in York Outer is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 46.7%.
of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 2.
The 2024 general election in York Outer
Labour won York Outer in 2024 with 45.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 26.9% and Reform UK 11.6%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare York Outer with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Scarborough and Whitby Reform UK
- Thirsk and Malton Conservative
- Bridlington and The Wolds Reform UK
- Harrogate and Knaresborough Conservative
- Hartlepool Reform UK
- Leeds East Reform UK
- Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Conservative
- Wetherby and Easingwold Conservative
- York Central Reform UK
- Goole and Pocklington Conservative
- Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham Reform UK
- Leeds Central and Headingley Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.