Tactical voting guide · North West

Warrington South

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Warrington South is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 48.9%.

53.4%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 2.

Labour 37.6%
Reform UK recommended 24.6%
Conservative 20.2%
Green 6.6%
Liberal Democrat 6.1%
Restore Britain 4.1%
Other 0.7%

The 2024 general election in Warrington South

Labour won Warrington South in 2024 with 46.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 23.9% and Reform UK 15.9%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.