Tactical voting guide · East of England

Hertsmere

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Hertsmere and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 67.6%.

Conservative recommended 42.6%
Reform UK 21.3%
Labour 18.8%
Liberal Democrat 6.4%
Green 6.3%
Restore Britain 3.7%
Other 0.8%

The 2024 general election in Hertsmere

Conservative won Hertsmere in 2024 with 44.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 44.7% and Reform UK 13.7%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.