Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
The right-of-centre vote in Welwyn Hatfield is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 54.2%.
of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 25.
The 2024 general election in Welwyn Hatfield
Labour won Welwyn Hatfield in 2024 with 41.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 33.2% and Reform UK 13.2%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 46.4% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Nearby constituencies
- Brentwood and Ongar Reform UK
- Hertsmere Conservative
- Hitchin Conservative
- North East Hertfordshire Conservative
- St Albans Conservative
- Stevenage Reform UK
- Basildon and Billericay Reform UK
- Bedford Reform UK
- Broxbourne Conservative
- Chelmsford Conservative
- Epping Forest Conservative
- Hemel Hempstead Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.